¸ÅÂÊÂÛÓëÊýÀíͳ¼Æ - ½Ì°¸32¿Îʱ ÏÂÔØ±¾ÎÄ

´Ëʽ³£³£ÓÃÀ´ÇóF·Ö²¼±íÖÐûÓÐÁгöµÄijЩÉϲà·ÖλÊý.

·ÖλÊý

Àý1Éè??0.05, Çó±ê×¼Õý̬·Ö²¼µÄˮƽ0.05µÄÉϲà·ÖλÊýºÍË«²à·ÖλÊý.

?2·Ö²¼

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Y?(X1?X2?X3)2?(X4?X5?X6)2

ÊÔÇó³£ÊýC, ʹCY·þ´Ó?2·Ö²¼.

t·Ö²¼

Àý3ÉèËæ»ú±äÁ¿X~N(2,1), Ëæ»ú±äÁ¿Y1,Y2,Y3,Y4¾ù·þ´ÓN(0,4), ÇÒX,Yi(i?1,2,3,4)¶¼Ï໥¶ÀÁ¢, Áî

4(X?2)T?,

?Yi?14i2ÊÔÇóTµÄ·Ö²¼, ²¢È·¶¨t0µÄÖµ, ʹP{|T|?t0}?0.01.

F·Ö²¼

Àý4Éè×ÜÌåX·þ´Ó±ê×¼Õý̬·Ö²¼, X1,X2,?,XnÊÇÀ´×Ô×ÜÌåXµÄÒ»¸ö¼òµ¥Ëæ»úÑù±¾, ÊÔÎÊͳ¼ÆÁ¿

?n?5252Y???1??Xi?Xi,n?5

?5?i?1i?1·þ´ÓºÎÖÖ·Ö²¼?

˼¿¼Ìâ

1.ÉèX1,X2,X3,X4,X5ÊÇÀ´×ÔÕý̬×ÜÌåN(0,22)µÄÑù±¾. C(X1?X2)(1) ÇóCʹͳ¼ÆÁ¿Y1?·þ´Ót(m)·Ö²¼.

222X3?X4?X5(X1?X2)2(3) ÇóY2?Ëù·þ´ÓµÄ·Ö²¼.

(X4?X3)2µÚÈý½Ú ³éÑù·Ö²¼

Ò»¡¢³éÑù·Ö²¼

ÓÐʱ, ×ÜÌå·Ö²¼µÄÀàÐÍËäÈ»ÒÑÖª, µ«ÆäÖк¬ÓÐδ֪²ÎÊý,´ËʱÐè¶Ô×ÜÌåµÄδ֪²ÎÊý»ò¶Ô×ÜÌåµÄÖØÒªÊý×ÖÌØÕ÷(ÈçÊýѧÆÚÍû¡¢·Ö²îµÈ) ½øÐÐͳ¼ÆÍƶÏ, ´ËÀàÎÊÌâ³ÆÎª²ÎÊýͳ¼ÆÍƶÏ.ÔÚ²ÎÊýͳ¼ÆÍƶÏÎÊÌâÖÐ, ³£ÐèÀûÓÃ×ÜÌåµÄÑù±¾¹¹Ôì³öºÏÊʵÄͳ¼ÆÁ¿, ²¢Ê¹Æä·þ´Ó»ò½¥½üµØ·þ´ÓÒÑÖªµÄ×ÜÌå·Ö²¼. ͳ¼ÆÑ§Öзº³ÆÍ³¼ÆÁ¿·Ö²¼Îª³éÑù·Ö²¼.

ÌÖÂÛ³éÑù·Ö²¼µÄ;¾¶ÓÐÁ½¸ö. Ò»ÊǾ«È·µØÇó³ö³éÑù·Ö²¼, ²¢³ÆÏàÓ¦µÄͳ¼ÆÍƶÏΪСÑù±¾Í³¼ÆÍƶÏ; ÁíÒ»ÖÖ·½Ê½ÊÇÈÃÑù±¾ÈÝÁ¿Ç÷ÓÚÎÞÇî, ²¢Çó³öÖáÑù·Ö²¼µÄ¼«ÏÞ·Ö²¼.È»ºó,ÔÚÑù±¾ÈÝÁ¿³ä·Ö´óʱ, ÔÙÀûÓøü«ÏÞ·Ö²¼×÷Ϊ³éÑù·Ö²¼µÄ½üËÆ·Ö²¼, ½ø¶ø¶Ôδ֪²ÎÊý½øÐÐͳ¼ÆÍƶÏ, ³ÆÓë´ËÏàÓ¦µÄͳ¼ÆÍƶÏΪ´óÑù±¾Í³¼ÆÍƶÏ. ÕâÀïÖØµãÌÖÂÛÕý̬×ÜÌåµÄ³éÑù·Ö²¼, ÊôСÑù±¾Í³¼Æ·¶³ë£»´ËÍâ, Ò²¼òÒª½éÉÜÒ»°ã×ÜÌåµÄijЩ³éÑù·Ö²¼µÄ¼«ÏÞ·Ö²¼, Êô´óÑù±¾Í³¼Æ·¶³ë¡£

¶þ¡¢µ¥Õý̬×ÜÌåµÄ³éÑù·Ö²¼ Éè×ÜÌåXµÄ¾ùÖµ?,·½²îΪ?2,X1,X2,?,XnÊÇÈ¡×ÔXµÄÒ»¸öÑù±¾,XÓëS2·Ö±ðΪ¸ÃÑù±¾µÄÑù±¾¾ùÖµÓëÑù±¾·½²î, ÔòÓÐ

E(X)??,D(X)??2,

49

?1?n2????Xi?nX2?? ¶ø E(S)?E???????n?1?i?1?1?n1?n22?2222??E(X)?nE(X)?(???)?n(?/n??)???2. ?????in?1?i?1?n?1?i?1?¹ÊÓÐÏÂÁж¨Àí:

¶¨Àí1 Éè×ÜÌåX~N(?,?2), X1,X2,?,XnÊÇÈ¡×ÔXµÄÒ»¸öÑù±¾, XÓëS2·Ö±ðΪ¸ÃÑù±¾µÄÑù±¾¾ùÖµÓëÑù±¾·½²î, ÔòÓÐ

2(1) X~N(?,?2/n); (2) U?X??~N(0,1). ?/n¶¨Àí2 Éè×ÜÌåX~N(?,?2), X1,X2,?,XnÊÇÈ¡×ÔXµÄÒ»¸öÑù±¾, XÓëS2·Ö±ðΪ¸ÃÑù±¾µÄÑù±¾¾ùÖµÓëÑù±¾·½²î, ÔòÓÐ (1) ?=

2n?1?2S?2?(Xi?2i?11n?X)2~?2(n?1);

(2) XÓëS2Ï໥¶ÀÁ¢.

¶¨Àí3 Éè×ÜÌåX~N(?,?2),X1,X2,?,XnÊÇÈ¡×ÔXµÄÒ»¸ö Ñù±¾, XÓëS2·Ö±ðΪ¸ÃÑù±¾µÄÑù±¾¾ùÖµÓëÑù±¾·½²î, ÔòÓÐ

(1) ??(2) T?21?2?(Xi?1ni??)2~?2(n)

X??S/n~t(n?1).

Èý¡¢Ë«Õý̬×ÜÌåµÄ³éÑù·Ö²¼

2)ÊÇÁ½¸öÏ໥¶ÀÁ¢µÄÕý̬×ÜÌå, ÓÖÉ趨Àí4 ÉèX~N(?1,?12)ÓëY~N(?2,?2X1,X2,?,XnÊÇÈ¡×Ô×ÜÌåXµÄÑù±¾, XÓëS12·Ö±ðΪ¸ÃÑù±¾µÄÑù±¾¾ùÖµÓëÑù±¾·½²î.

1Y1,Y2,?,YnÊÇÈ¡×Ô×ÜÌåYµÄÑù±¾, YÓëS22·Ö±ðΪ´ËÑù±¾µÄÑù±¾¾ùÖµÓëÑù±¾·½²î. ÔÙ¼ÇSw2ÊÇ

22S12ÓëS2µÄ¼ÓȨƽ¾ù, ¼´

Sw22(n1?1)S12?(n2?1)S2?.

n1?n2?2Ôò (1) U?(X?Y)?(?1??2)?122/n1??2~N(0,1);

/n2??2?S12(2) F??????S2~F(n1?1,n2?1);

?1?2(X?Y)?(?1??2)2??2ʱ, T?~t(n1?n2?2). (3) µ±?12??2Sw1/n1?1/n22

ËÄ¡¢Ò»°ã×ÜÌå³éÑù·Ö²¼µÄ¼«ÏÞ·Ö²¼

¶¨Òå1 ÉèFn(x)ÎªËæ»ú±äÁ¿XnµÄ·Ö²¼º¯Êý, F(x)ÎªËæ»ú±äÁ¿XµÄ·Ö²¼º¯Êý,²¢¼ÇC(F)ΪÓÉF(x)µÄÈ«ÌåÁ¬Ðøµã×é³ÉµÄ¼¯ºÏ, Èô

limFn(x)?F(x),?x?C(F),

n??Ôò³ÆËæ»ú±äÁ¿XnÒÀ·Ö²¼ÊÕÁ²ÓÚX, ¼ò¼ÇΪ

ddXn???X»òFn(x)???F(x).

50