当前中国经济形势之我见

problems that cannot be ignored. Some leaders unwilling to do masses work, masses concept weak, on masses feelings not deep, pendulum not are with masses of relationship, think masses work is revolutionary war era of things, now obsolete has, buried business work, ignored masses work of situation compared General; some leaders not do masses work, old method regardless of with, new not with, not understand masses psychological, not understand masses wishes, not said masses language, work method simple stiff, caused masses of conflict and antipathy; some leaders can't do masses work, Faced with a lot of contradictions among the people worry about fear, panic set in encounter group events, and some are even mismanaged, inflame, so work has suffered heavy losses, and so on. These problems we are soberly aware, enhancing the party's ruling capability, the maintenance and development of the party's advanced nature and purity, and to enhance the ability of partycommittees and leading cadres are good people. Attach great importance to and is good at doing mass work, has become the new urgent situation strengthening the party's governing capacity-building tasks. Combined practice of maintaining flesh-and-blood ties with the masses, urged the broad masses of party members and cadres, especially all levels ... Processing to improve as a guide to the country. \d is summed up these new things, be promoted. \s a vivid manifestation of the Deng Xiaoping's mass. Deng also put people \does not support\not to agree\ppy\promise\nd destination of developing guidelines, policies, and as the only standard for measuring compliance with the wishes of the masses of the people. Under the guidance of Deng Xiaoping theory, Central Government adopted a series of important measures to strengthen links with the masses. In December 1989, the CPC Central Committee made on adhering to and perfecting the system of multi-party cooperation and political consultation under the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party, closely for CPC and the democratic parties and the relationship between the part of the masses that they contact, effectively carrying out the mass line, played a positive role. In March 1990, the 13 plenary session adopted the decision on strengthening contacts with the masses of the Party noted that \d and developed in the long struggle of the party's mass line, is to realize the party's ideological line, the fundamental political and organizational work route\lways maintain flesh-and-blood ties and development of the masses, is directly related to the rise and fall of the rise and fall of the party and State. In September 1994, 14 adopted by the plenary session of the Party on strengthening decision on several major issues of party building. The requirements of the decision of the party's leading bodies and leading cadreshould develop a democratic style of work, come from the masses, to the masses, together, stick to the mass line. Party of 13 session four in the plenary yihou, to Jiang comrade for core of party当前中国经济形势之我见

当前的中国,不论是政治抑或是经济,都不能之简简单单的用一句好或是不好来形容,2000年以来,中国的经济可谓是逐步攀升,与此同时,一些问题也慢慢浮出水面,经济形势究竟是好与不好,尚有些不好评断。

房地产可谓是国民经济中的龙头老大,一直以来都是国名经济的引航标。目前国内房地产业不仅在整个国民经济中的比重较高,而且房地产业与国内57个产业关联度极大,房地产市场的发展必定会带动这些产业的发展。可以说,这一轮国内经济快速增长最大动力就是房地产业,而房价的快速飚升也使整个社会利益向房地产业倾斜。不过,2012年全国的房价还是有所降低,但这并不能抹杀掉2000年后房价飙升的事实。

自2000年以来,房地产的发展前景逐渐明朗,房地产的形势好的一发不可收拾:我国GDP年均增长9.6%,房地产业增加值占GDP的比重为4.2%,房地产年均增长11.4%。仅从上海、北京等大城市成倍上涨的房价就可以得到验证。虽然,一些中小型城市的房价增长不是很明显但增长的形势还是显而易见的,如,南通、东莞等中小型城市,相对于同范围的上海、深圳来说,增幅就有点小巫见大巫的意味了,不过详细了解这些中型城市近年来的房价,房价在中国范围内呈增长趋势发展,这句话并没有不妥。尽管2012年有余诸多原因,导致了房价的下跌,但这些政治因素的影响也只是暂时的,毕竟相对持续增长的GDP,进出口贸易顺差的逐年增加等强有力的经济因素,领导人换届这种暂时性的因素还是不可与之同日而语的。但就这一点而言,中国当前经济状况的发展还是乐观的。 不过,房地产的发展始终会有达到饱和的一天,倘若到了那一天,它又该何去何从呢?

与房地产业密切相关,同时也掌控着中国经济命脉的另一产业——中国商业银行的发展状况对中国当前经济的影响也是不容小觑的。商业银行一直是调整国民资金流向的一个重要机构,自改革开放以来,随着国民经济的增长,国民收入的提高,大多数国民都将收入的一大部分放置于银行。与此同时,改革开放使中国的经济体制的运转更加成熟,银行的借贷功能逐步强大起来,中国的商业银行自改革开放以来的增长趋势始终如一。随着房地产的迅猛发展,银行的信贷业务又达到了一个新的高水平。这样看来,我国的经济形势似乎很好。

f third generation Central led collective, banner Deng Xiao-ping's theory great flag, insisted liberation thought, and facts, and times, in both at home and abroad political storm, and economic risk, severe test before, relies on party and people, defended China features Socialist, created socialist market new system, created full open new situation, advance party of construction new of great engineering, founded \sentative\Continue to steer the ship of reform and opening up forward on the right. Comrade Jiang Zemin said: \hening and improving the party's mass work in the new situation, it is of decisive significance to consolidating the ruling Foundation of the party. \hrough our party and some of the world's major lessons learned from the success of the old party of the party, Comrade Jiang Zemin pointed out:\st political advantage of our party is in close contact with the masses, the most dangerous after the ruling party was divorced from the masses. \d:\construction, only the understanding, support and participation of the people, people's enthusiasm and creativity into full play in order to advance; the leadership of the party, only the tie and win the masses embraced, can be consolidated and strengthened. \d out that strengthening and improving the party's work style construction, maintaining the party's flesh-and-blood ties with the masses is the core problem, the key is to do solid work, implement, resolutely oppose and overcome formalism. Comrade Jiang Zemin stressed that all the work and policies of the party, are in compliance with the fundamental interests of the overwhelming majority of the people to the highest degree, to the majority of people are not satisfied with the fundamental guidelines, strive to make our workers, farmers, intellectuals and other people enjoy ... Single, everyone seemed to know. But well known does not mean perfect. Some party members and leading cadres, consider contacting their small departments, within a small circle of people, or contact individual owners, the entrepreneur, is the masses, this idea is obviously not correct. The Communist Party of China, people should have three characteristics. First, the people should be the most social, is a Department within the scope of the majority. Specific to the party and Government departments, especially the cadres working in the Central and State organs, mass is the 1.3 billion Chinese people, work for the party members and cadres, masses are the land within the jurisdiction of the common people. The second characteristic of the masses, is that we have common interests. Masses are manifestations of each specific people, but the crowd is a comprehensive political concept, refers to people with common political and economic interests in the period of social transformation, social differentiation between the interests of the masses is large, if you do not find the interest in doing mass work, the party members and cadres, will be in a passive position. The third characteristic of the massesproblems that cannot be ignored. Some leaders unwilling to do masses work, masses concept weak, on masses feelings not deep, pendulum not are with masses of relationship, think masses work is revolutionary war era of things, now obsolete has, buried business work, ignored masses work of situation compared General; some leaders not do masses work, old method regardless of with, new not with, not understand masses psychological, not understand masses wishes, not said masses language, work method simple stiff, caused masses of conflict and antipathy; some leaders can't do masses work, Faced with a lot of contradictions among the people worry about fear, panic set in encounter group events, and some are even mismanaged, inflame, so work has suffered heavy losses, and so on. These problems we are soberly aware, enhancing the party's ruling capability, the maintenance and development of the party's advanced nature and purity, and to enhance the ability of partycommittees and leading cadres are good people. Attach great importance to and is good at doing mass work, has become the new urgent situation strengthening the party's governing capacity-building tasks. Combined practice of maintaining flesh-and-blood ties with the masses, urged the broad masses of party members and cadres, especially all levels ... Processing to improve as a guide to the country. \d is summed up these new things, be promoted. \s a vivid manifestation of the Deng Xiaoping's mass. Deng also put people \does not support\not to agree\ppy\promise\nd destination of developing guidelines, policies, and as the only standard for measuring compliance with the wishes of the masses of the people. Under the guidance of Deng Xiaoping theory, Central Government adopted a series of important measures to strengthen links with the masses. In December 1989, the CPC Central Committee made on adhering to and perfecting the system of multi-party cooperation and political consultation under the leadership of the Chinese Communist Party, closely for CPC and the democratic parties and the relationship between the part of the masses that they contact, effectively carrying out the mass line, played a positive role. In March 1990, the 13 plenary session adopted the decision on strengthening contacts with the masses of the Party noted that \d and developed in the long struggle of the party's mass line, is to realize the party's ideological line, the fundamental political and organizational work route\lways maintain flesh-and-blood ties and development of the masses, is directly related to the rise and fall of the rise and fall of the party and State. In September 1994, 14 adopted by the plenary session of the Party on strengthening decision on several major issues of party building. The requirements of the decision of the party's leading bodies and leading cadreshould develop a democratic style of work, come from the masses, to the masses, together, stick to the mass line. Party of 13 session four in the plenary yihou, to Jiang comrade for core of party但不可忽视的是银行之所以能够多年来屹立不倒,很重要的是其处于具有完全优势的垄断地位。伴随我国经济的发展,全球的经济的发展脚步也始终没有停息。进入21世纪后,经济全球化的趋势越来越明显:外资银行的注入和发展,已成为了中国金融领域的后起之秀。截止2001年末,外资银行在我国的代表处214家,营业机构190家,有31家获准从事人民币业务的试点,人民币资产已达450亿,其中贷款390亿。虽然其发展速度并不是势如破竹般迅猛,但随着对其的约束条件的逐渐消除,其在国内金融市场的影响不可忽视。近年来的中国几家大的商业银行,尤其是农业银行的经济效益已大不如从前,这也预示了中国商业银行发展的萎靡之势。如此看来,当前我国经济的发展形势又变得有些严峻了。

当然,我国当前的经济状况不能只靠房地产、商业银行,毕竟相对而言,我国的进出口贸易现在看来还是生机勃勃的,但2012年我国遭受反倾销调查案件多大60起,切涉案企业均被征收高额的反倾销税,这也大大削减了我国的出口贸易额,对国家经济也颇有影响。据相关人员透露,中国之所以遭受反倾销调查,归根结底是由于中国产品的廉价销售政策,而且,尽管遭受了反倾销调查,中国的企业仍旧坚持廉价销售,长此以往中国的出口贸易将无法挽救,这势必会导致我国经济发展受阻。

综合来看,现下的经济形势还是很乐观的,但如果中国的经济巨头们只是坚持着现下的策略,不求思变,中国的经济状况将有可能会走向令人担忧的境况。不过,对于如此之多的因素,中国当下的经济状况确实很难用好与不好来评断。

f third generation Central led collective, banner Deng Xiao-ping's theory great flag, insisted liberation thought, and facts, and times, in both at home and abroad political storm, and economic risk, severe test before, relies on party and people, defended China features Socialist, created socialist market new system, created full open new situation, advance party of construction new of great engineering, founded \sentative\Continue to steer the ship of reform and opening up forward on the right. Comrade Jiang Zemin said: \hening and improving the party's mass work in the new situation, it is of decisive significance to consolidating the ruling Foundation of the party. \hrough our party and some of the world's major lessons learned from the success of the old party of the party, Comrade Jiang Zemin pointed out:\st political advantage of our party is in close contact with the masses, the most dangerous after the ruling party was divorced from the masses. \d:\construction, only the understanding, support and participation of the people, people's enthusiasm and creativity into full play in order to advance; the leadership of the party, only the tie and win the masses embraced, can be consolidated and strengthened. \d out that strengthening and improving the party's work style construction, maintaining the party's flesh-and-blood ties with the masses is the core problem, the key is to do solid work, implement, resolutely oppose and overcome formalism. Comrade Jiang Zemin stressed that all the work and policies of the party, are in compliance with the fundamental interests of the overwhelming majority of the people to the highest degree, to the majority of people are not satisfied with the fundamental guidelines, strive to make our workers, farmers, intellectuals and other people enjoy ... Single, everyone seemed to know. But well known does not mean perfect. Some party members and leading cadres, consider contacting their small departments, within a small circle of people, or contact individual owners, the entrepreneur, is the masses, this idea is obviously not correct. The Communist Party of China, people should have three characteristics. First, the people should be the most social, is a Department within the scope of the majority. Specific to the party and Government departments, especially the cadres working in the Central and State organs, mass is the 1.3 billion Chinese people, work for the party members and cadres, masses are the land within the jurisdiction of the common people. The second characteristic of the masses, is that we have common interests. Masses are manifestations of each specific people, but the crowd is a comprehensive political concept, refers to people with common political and economic interests in the period of social transformation, social differentiation between the interests of the masses is large, if you do not find the interest in doing mass work, the party members and cadres, will be in a passive position. The third characteristic of the masses

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