璇曞嵎锛堜竴锛夊弬鑰冪瓟妗?/p>
涓�銆?/p>
鍗曢�夐
1
鈥?/p>
5 DACCC 6
鈥?/p>
10 BADCC
浜屻�佸閫夐
1
锛?/p>
BCDE 2
锛?/p>
ABE 3
锛?/p>
DE 4
锛?/p>
ABD 5
锛?/p>
BDE
6
锛?/p>
AD 7
锛?/p>
ADE 8
锛?/p>
ABCD 9
锛?/p>
ABCDE 10
锛?/p>
BDE
涓夈�佸垽鏂
1-5
鈭毭椻垰脳鈭?/p>
鍥涖�佺畝绛旈
1
锛庯紙
1
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涓嶉殢鎬讳綋鑼冨洿鐨勫ぇ灏忚�屽鍑忥紱
锛?/p>
2
锛夎川閲忔寚鏍囦竴鑸槸閫氳繃鏁伴噺鎸囨爣鐩存帴鎴栭棿鎺ヨ绠楄�屽緱鍒扮殑銆?/p>
2
锛?/p>
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鑱旂郴鐨勫嚑涓儴鍒嗭紝绉颁负缁熻鍒嗙粍銆傜粺璁″垎缁勬寜浠诲姟鍜屼綔鐢ㄧ殑涓嶅悓锛屽垎涓虹被鍨嬪垎缁勩�佺粨鏋勫垎缁勫拰鍒嗘瀽鍒嗙粍锛?/p>
鎸夊垎缁勬爣蹇楃殑澶氬皯涓哄垎绠�鍗曞垎缁勫拰澶嶅悎鍒嗙粍锛?/p>
鎸夊垎缁勬爣蹇楃殑鎬ц川涓嶅悓鍒嗕负鍝佽川鍒嗙粍鍜屽彉閲忓垎缁勩�?/p>
浜斻�佽绠楅
1
锛庤В锛?/p>
2002
骞寸幆姣斿闀块�熷害绛変簬
105
梅
100
锛?/p>
1
锛?/p>
5%
2003
骞寸幆姣斿闀块�熷害绛変簬
111
梅
105
锛?/p>
1
锛?/p>
5.7%
2004
骞寸幆姣斿闀块�熷害绛変簬
117
梅
111
锛?/p>
1
锛?/p>
5.4%
2005
骞寸幆姣斿闀块�熷害绛変簬
124
梅
117
锛?/p>
1
锛?/p>
5.98%
2
銆佽В锛氭牴鎹彁渚涚殑涓夌鍚堟牸鐜囷紝鎬讳綋鏂瑰樊鍙栧ぇ鍊艰繘琛岃绠楋紝
鏁呯敤
P=95%,F(t)=0.95 t=1.96
浠?/p>
闇�鎶芥煡
浠?
2
2
2
2
(1
)
1.96
0.95(1
0.95)
1825(
)
0.01
1825
P
t
P
P
n
飥?/p>
飩?/p>
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飩?/p>
飦?/p>
3
锛庤В锛氬湪鐢插競鍦轰笂鐨勫钩鍧囦环鏍硷細
700
105
900
120
1100
137
123.04
(
/
)
2700
xf
x
f
飩?/p>
飥?/p>
飩?/p>
飥?/p>
飩?/p>
飥?
飥?
飥?/p>
飪?/p>
飪?/p>
鍏?/p>
浠?/p>
鍦ㄤ箼甯傚満涓婄殑骞冲潎浠锋牸涓猴細
317900
317900
117.74
(
/
)
12600
9600
95900
2700
105
120
137
m
x
m
x
飥?
飥?
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飪?/p>
飪?/p>
鍏?/p>
浠?/p>
4
锛庤В锛?/p>
锛?/p>
1
锛?/p>
锛?/p>
9.80
锛?/p>
2
锛?/p>