飩?/p>
璧勬枡鍒嗘瀽锛?/p>
鍞竴鐨勫姙娉曞氨鏄紝
鍦ㄦ纭柟娉曠殑寮曞涓嬭繘琛屾満姊板寲銆佹祦绋嬪紡鎿嶄綔
銆?/p>
锛堝仛棰橀『搴忥紝鎺掑湪鍓嶄簩鎴栦笁浣嶏級
涓昏鑰冨療搴旇�冧汉鍛樺鍚勭褰㈠紡鐨勭粺璁¤祫鏂欙紙鍖呮嫭鏂囧瓧銆佸浘褰㈠拰琛ㄦ牸绛夛級杩涜姝ｇ‘鐞嗚В銆佽绠椼�佸垎鏋愩�佹瘮杈冦�佸垽鏂�佸鐞嗙殑鑳藉姏銆?/p>
瑙ｉ姝ラ锛?/p>
锛?/p>
1
锛夊揩璇诲阀鐢伙細涓�涓竴涓甫鐫�闂
璇婚骞诧紙
30s
锛?/p>
锛涘阀鐢伙紙鏃堕棿鈥?/p>
鈥?/p>
锛?/p>
瀵硅薄鈥?/p>
鈥?/p>
锛涢櫡闃扁�?/p>
鈥?/p>
锛?/p>
锛?/p>
2
锛変互棰樺畾浣?/p>
锛?/p>
3
锛夊噯纭垪寮?/p>
锛?/p>
4
锛夊悎鐞嗕及绠?/p>
璁″垎锛?/p>
0.7-1
锛?/p>
锛?/p>
17
涓?/p>
/20
浠ヤ笂
涓�銆佺粺璁℃湳璇?/p>
锛堜竴锛夋帉鎻″瀷鏈
锛?/p>
1
锛?/p>
鐧惧垎鏁?/p>
<
涓�涓槸閲忕殑姣旇緝
>
锛?/p>
A/B*100%
銆?/p>
瑙ｇ瓟涓庣櫨鍒嗘暟鏈夊叧鐨勮瘯棰樻椂锛?/p>
瑕佹槑纭槸浠ヤ粈涔堜綔涓烘爣鍑嗘潵杩涜姣旇緝
(
鍜岃皝姣旓紝
灏辨槸浠ヨ皝涓烘爣鍑?/p>
)
銆?/p>
濡傦細鍘诲勾鐨勪骇閲忎负
a
锛屼粖骞寸殑浜ч噺涓?/p>
b
锛屼粖骞寸殑浜ч噺姣斿幓骞撮珮
10%
锛屽垯
b-a=10%a
锛堜互鍘诲勾鐨勪骇閲忎负鏍囧噯锛?/p>
锛涘幓骞寸殑浜ч噺涓?/p>
a
锛屼粖骞寸殑浜?/p>
閲忎负
b
锛屽幓骞寸殑浜ч噺姣斾粖骞翠綆
10%
锛屽垯
b-a=10%b
锛堜互浠婂勾鐨勪骇閲忎负鏍囧噯锛?/p>
銆?/p>
鐧惧垎鐐?/p>
<
涓�涓槸鐜囩殑姣旇緝
>
锛?/p>
浠ョ櫨鍒嗘暟鐨勫舰寮忚〃绀?/p>
鐩稿
鎸囨爣鐨勫彉鍔ㄥ箙搴︼紝娌℃湁鐧惧垎鍙枫�?/p>
濡傦細浠婂勾鐨勪骇閲忔彁楂樹簡
17%
锛屽幓骞寸殑浜ч噺
涓嬮檷浜?/p>
12%
锛屽垯浠婂勾姣斿幓骞存彁楂樹簡
29
涓櫨鍒嗙偣锛屼絾鏄笉鑳借浠婂勾姣斿幓骞存彁楂樹簡
29%
銆?/p>
鎴愭暟锛?/p>
涓�鎴愬嵆鍗佸垎涔嬩竴銆?/p>
鎶樻暟锛?/p>
涓�鎶樺嵆鍗佸垎涔嬩竴銆?/p>
姣旈噸锛?/p>
鏁翠綋涓煇閮ㄥ垎鎵�鍗犵殑浠介銆?/p>
锛?/p>
2
锛夊熀鏈熴�佺幇鏈燂紙鎶ュ憡鏈燂級
鍩烘湡
锛氫綔涓哄姣斿熀纭�鐨勬椂鏈燂紝
鐜版湡
锛氱浉瀵瑰熀鏈熻�岃█鐨勪竴涓蹇点�?/p>
濡傦細
鈥滃拰
2003
骞?/p>
8
鏈堢浉姣旓紝
2003
骞?/p>
9
鏈堢殑鏌愰噺鍙戠敓鐨勫彉鍖栤�?/p>
锛屽垯浠?/p>
2003
骞?/p>
8
鏈堜负鍩烘湡锛?/p>
2003
骞?/p>
9
鏈堜负鐜版湡銆?/p>
锛?/p>
3
锛夊�嶆暟锛?/p>
涓や釜鏈夎仈绯荤殑鎸囨爣鐨勫姣斻�傚锛氬幓骞寸殑浜ч噺涓?/p>
a
锛屼粖骞寸殑浜ч噺鏄幓骞寸殑
3
鍊嶏紝鍒欎粖骞翠骇閲忎负
3a
锛涘幓骞寸殑浜ч噺涓?/p>
a
锛屼粖骞寸殑浜ч噺
姣斿幓骞村闀夸簡
3
鍊嶏紝鍒欎粖骞翠骇閲忎负
4a
銆?/p>
缈荤暘锛?/p>
鍗虫暟閲忓姞鍊嶏紝缈讳竴鐣负鍘熸潵鐨?/p>
2
鍊嶏紝缈讳袱鐣负鍘熸潵鐨?/p>
4
鍊嶏紱渚濇绫绘帹锛岀炕
n
鐣负鍘熸潵鐨?/p>
2
n
鍊嶃�?/p>
锛?/p>
4
锛?/p>
鎸囨暟
鐢ㄤ簬琛￠噺鏌愮瑕佺礌
鐩稿
鍙樺寲鐨勬寚鏍囬噺锛?/p>
閫氬父灏嗗熀鏈熺殑鎸囨暟鍊煎畾涓?/p>
100
锛?/p>
鍏跺畠閲忓拰鍩烘湡閲忕浉姣旇緝寰楀嚭鐨勬暟鍊煎嵆涓鸿鏃舵湡鐨勬寚鏁板�笺�?/p>
濡傦細
a=60
锛?/p>
b=40
锛岃嫢
b
鐨勬寚鏁颁负
100
锛屽垯
a
鐨勬寚鏁颁负
150
銆?/p>
锛?/p>
9
锛夊钩鍧囨暟
=
鎬绘暟閲忓拰
/
鎬讳唤鏁?/p>
涓綅鏁帮細
灏嗕竴缁勬暟鎹寜澶у皬椤哄簭閲嶆柊鎺掑垪鍚庯紝澶勪簬涓棿浣嶇疆鐨勬暟鍗充负涓綅鏁般�傝嫢鏁版嵁涓暟涓哄鏁帮紝鍒欎腑闂寸殑鏁版嵁灏辨槸涓綅鏁帮紱鑻ユ暟
鎹釜鏁颁负鍋舵暟锛屽垯涓棿涓や釜鏁版嵁鐨勫钩鍧囧�煎氨鏄腑浣嶆暟銆?/p>
锛?/p>
10
锛夎繘鍑哄彛鎬婚銆侀『宸�侀�嗗樊
杩涘嚭鍙ｆ�婚
=
杩涘彛棰?/p>
+
鍑哄彛棰?/p>
褰撹繘鍙ｉ澶т簬鍑哄彛棰濇椂锛岃繘鍑哄彛璐告槗琛ㄧ幇涓洪�嗗樊锛屽張绉扳�?/p>
鍏ヨ秴
鈥?/p>
锛?/p>
閫嗗樊
=
杩涘彛棰?/p>
-
鍑哄彛棰?/p>
锛?/p>
褰撹繘鍙ｉ灏忎簬鍑哄彛棰濇椂锛岃繘鍑哄彛璐告槗琛ㄧ幇涓洪『宸紝鍙堢О鈥?/p>
鍑鸿秴
鈥?/p>
锛?/p>
椤哄樊
=
鍑哄彛棰?/p>
-
杩涘彛棰?/p>
銆?/p>
锛堜簩锛夊闀跨浉鍏抽�熺畻娉?/p>
1
锛?/p>
鍙戝睍閫熷害
锛氬闀块噺銆佸噺灏戦噺锛?/p>
澧為暱閫熷害
锛氬闀跨巼锛堝閫熴�佸骞咃級
銆佸噺灏戠巼銆?/p>
鍙戝睍閫熷害锛?/p>
%
锛?/p>
=
鏌愭寚鏍囨姤鍛婃湡鏁板�?/p>
/
璇ユ寚鏍囧熀鏈熸暟鍊济?/p>
100%
澧為暱閫熷害
=
鍙戝睍閫熷害
-1
锛堟垨
100%
锛?/p>
=
澧為暱鐜?/p>
=
澧炲箙
=
澧為�?/p>
=
鍩烘湡閲?
澧為暱閲?/p>
脳
100%
锛?/p>
鍑忓皯鐜?/p>
=
鍩烘湡閲?/p>
鍑忓皯閲?/p>
脳
100%
锛?/p>
澧為暱鐨勭粷瀵归噺锛堜篃浣滃闀块噺锛夛紳鏈湡閲忥紞鍩烘湡閲?/p>
鍑忓皯閲?/p>
=
鍩烘湡閲?/p>
-
鐜版湡閲?/p>
鍦ㄨ祫鏂欏垎鏋愪腑锛屽父鐢ㄧ殑鏄涓嬪嚑绉嶅彉鎹㈠舰寮忥細
浼扮畻锛?/p>
鐜版湡閲?/p>
=
鍩烘湡閲?/p>
脳
锛?/p>
1 +
澧為暱鐜囷級
锛?/p>
鐜版湡閲?/p>
=
鍩烘湡閲?/p>
脳
锛?/p>
1 -
鍑忓皯鐜囷級
鍩烘湡閲?/p>
=
澧為暱鐜?
鐜版湡閲?/p>
飥?/p>
1
鍩烘湡閲?/p>
=
鍑忓皯鐜?
鐜版湡閲?/p>
飥?/p>
1
2
锛?/p>
鍚屾瘮锛?/p>
涓庝笂涓�鏈熷悓鏈熺浉姣斻�傚湪璧勬枡鍒嗘瀽涓紝缁忓父鐢ㄥ埌鍚屾瘮澧為暱杩欎竴姒傚康锛屾槸鎸囧拰鏌愪竴鐩稿悓鐨勬椂鏈熻繘琛屾瘮杈冨彂鐢熺殑缁濆閲忥紙鏁伴噺锛夋垨鐩?/p>
瀵归噺锛堢櫨鍒嗘暟锛夌殑澧炲姞銆備富瑕佷负浜嗘秷闄ゅ鑺傚彉鍔ㄧ殑褰卞搷銆傚锛氬幓骞?/p>
5
鏈堝畬鎴?/p>
8
涓囧厓锛屼粖骞?/p>
5
鏈堝畬鎴?/p>
10
涓囧厓锛屽悓姣斿闀垮氨搴旇鐢紙
10-8
锛?/p>
/8
脳
100%
鍗冲彲銆?/p>
鍚屾瘮鍙戝睍閫熷害
=
涓婁竴鏈熷悓鏈熷彂灞曟按骞?
鏈湡鍙戝睍姘村钩
脳
100%
鐜瘮锛?/p>
涓庣揣绱х浉閭荤殑涓婁竴鏈熺浉姣旓紝
鐜板湪鐨勭粺璁″懆鏈熷拰涓婁竴涓粺璁″懆鏈熺浉姣旇緝锛?/p>
琛ㄦ槑鐜拌薄
閫愭湡
鐨勫彂灞曢�熷害锛屾槸涓�涓浉瀵归噺锛?/p>
濡傛棩鐜瘮銆?/p>
鏈堢幆姣斿拰骞寸幆姣旂瓑銆?/p>
濡傦細浠婂勾涓夋湀瀹屾垚浜у�?/p>
2
涓囧厓锛屽洓鏈堝畬鎴?/p>
2.2
涓囧厓锛岀幆姣斿闀匡紙
2.2-2
锛?/p>
/2*100%=10%
銆?/p>
鏈夌幆姣斿闀块�熷害鍜岀幆姣斿彂灞曢�熷害涓ょ甯哥敤琛ㄧず鏂规硶锛?/p>
鐜瘮澧為暱閫熷害
=
飪?/p>
飪?
飪?/p>
飪?/p>
飪?
飪?/p>
飥?/p>
涓婁竴鏈熷彂灞曟按骞?
涓婁竴鏈熷彂灞曟按骞?/p>
鏈湡鍙戝睍姘村钩
脳
100%
鐜瘮鍙戝睍閫熷害锛?/p>
涓婁竴鏈熷彂灞曟按骞?
鏈湡鍙戝睍姘村钩
脳
100% =
鐜瘮澧為暱閫熷害
+1
3
锛?/p>
骞冲潎澧為暱鐜囷紙濡傦紝骞村潎澧為暱鐜囷級
锛屽鏋滅涓�骞翠负
A
锛岀
N+1
骞翠负
B
锛岄棿闅斾负
N
锛岃繖
N
骞寸殑骞村潎澧為暱鐜囦负
r
锛?/p>
鍒欐湁
A
B
=(1+r)
n
r=
A
B
n
- 1
锛?/p>
褰?/p>
x<<1
鐨勬椂鍊欙紙
x<0.05
锛?/p>
锛?/p>
(1+r)
n
>
鈮?/p>
1+nx
濡傛灉
N
骞撮棿鐨勫闀跨巼鍒嗗埆涓?/p>
r
1
锛?/p>
r
2
锛?/p>
鈥?/p>
锛?/p>
r
n
,
杩?/p>
N
骞寸殑骞村潎澧為暱鐜囦负
r
锛屽垯鏈?/p>
锛?/p>
1+r
锛?/p>
n
=(1+r
1
)( 1+r
2
)
鈥?/p>
(1+r
n
)
r=
)
1
(
)
1
)(
1
(
2
1
n
n
r
r
r
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飦?/p>
-1<
鈮?/p>
n
r
r
r
r
n
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飥?/p>
飦?/p>
3
2
1
娣峰悎澧為暱鐜囷紝
1+r=
锛?/p>
1+r
锛夛紙
1+r
锛夆�︹�︼紙
1+r
锛?/p>
闃呰娉?/p>
锛堟潗鏂欑粨鏋勶級
II
鏈�闅?/p>
III
鏈�绠�鍗?/p>
閫氱敤閲嶇偣
鐣ヨ
鍒嗙被閲嶇偣
鍙傝�冩椂闂?/p>
鏂囧瓧鍨嬫潗鏂?/p>
30%
锛堥毦鍦ㄩ槄璇伙級
鎬诲垎鍨?/p>
鏉愭枡涓绘棬
锛堝嵆鏍囬锛?/p>
銆?/p>
鏃堕棿琛ㄨ揪銆?/p>
鍗曚綅琛ㄨ堪銆?/p>
娉ㄩ噴锛堝浘绀猴級
鍏?/p>
浣?/p>
鏁?/p>
鎹?
鍏抽敭璇嶆硶锛堝叾涓級
30-60s
骞跺垪鍨?/p>
涓绘棬涓績娉?/p>
琛ㄦ牸鍨嬫潗鏂?/p>
43%
锛堥毦鍦ㄨ绠楋級
妯爣鐩紝绾垫爣鐩?/p>
15-30s
鍥惧舰鍨嬫潗鏂?/p>
27%
锛堜袱鑰呬箣闂达級
鏌辩姸瓒嬪娍鍥?/p>
18%
妯酱锛岀旱杞?/p>
10-25s
楗?/p>
9%
绫诲埆鍚嶇О
10-20s