銆婃鐜囥�?/p>
鐝骇
濮撳悕
瀛︿範鐩爣锛?/p>
锛?/p>
1
锛夌悊瑙ｅ苟鎺屾彙闅忔満浜嬩欢鍙戠敓鐨勬鐜囷紱
锛?/p>
2
锛夌悊瑙ｅ苟鎺屾彙鍙ゅ吀姒傚瀷鍙婂嚑浣曟
鍨嬨�?/p>
閲嶇偣銆侀毦鐐癸細
锛?/p>
1
锛夐殢鏈轰簨浠跺彂鐢熺殑姒傜巼銆佸彜鍏告鍨嬪強鍑犱綍姒傚瀷鐨勭壒鐐?/p>
锛?/p>
2
锛夊彜鍏告鍨嬪強鍑犱綍姒傚瀷鐨勮В棰樻楠?/p>
浠诲姟涓�銆佸涔犺鏈浉鍏崇殑绔犺妭骞跺～绌?/p>
銆愮煡璇嗘⒊鐞嗐�?/p>
1
锛庡彜鍏告鍨嬫槸涓�绉嶇壒娈婄殑姒傜巼妯″瀷锛屽叾鐗瑰緛鏄細
(1)
锛?/p>
(2)
锛?/p>
2
锛庡湪鍩烘湰浜嬩欢鎬绘暟鏄?/p>
n
鐨勫彜鍏告鍨嬩腑锛屾瘡涓熀鏈簨浠跺彂鐢熺殑姒傜巼鏄?/p>
.
濡傛灉鏌愪釜浜?/p>
浠?/p>
A
鍖呭惈浜嗗叾涓?/p>
涓瓑鍙兘浜嬩欢锛岄偅涔堜簨浠?/p>
A
鍙戠敓鐨勬鐜?/p>
P(A)
锛?/p>
.
3
锛庡嚑浣曟鍨嬬殑鍩烘湰鐗圭偣锛?/p>
(1)
锛?/p>
(2)
锛?/p>
4
锛庡嚑浣曟鍨嬬殑姒傜巼锛氫竴鑸湴锛屽湪鍑犱綍鍖哄煙
D
涓殢鏈哄湴鍙栦竴鐐癸紝璁颁簨浠垛�滆鐐硅惤鍦ㄥ叾鍐呴儴涓�
涓尯鍩?/p>
d
鍐呪�濅负浜嬩欢
A
锛屽垯浜嬩欢
A
鍙戠敓鐨勬鐜?/p>
P(A)
锛?/p>
.
娉ㄦ剰锛氬湪杩欓噷锛?/p>
D
鐨勬祴搴︿笉涓?/p>
0
锛屽叾涓�滄祴搴︹�濈殑鎰忎箟鐢?/p>
D
纭畾锛屽綋
D
鍒嗗埆鏄嚎娈点�?/p>
骞抽潰鍥惧舰鍜岀珛浣撳浘褰㈡椂锛岀浉搴旂殑鈥滄祴搴︹�濆垎鍒槸闀垮害銆侀潰绉拰浣撶Н锛?/p>
銆愬熀纭�缁冧範銆?/p>
1.
浠庣敳銆佷箼銆佷笝涓変汉涓换閫変袱鍚嶄唬琛紝鐢茶閫変腑鐨勬鐜囦负
.
2.
鏌愪汉鍚戝渾鍐呮姇闀栵紝
濡傛灉浠栨瘡娆￠兘鎶曞叆鍦嗗唴锛?/p>
閭ｄ箞浠栨姇涓鏂瑰舰鍖哄煙鐨勬鐜囦负
.
绗?/p>
2
棰樺浘
绗?/p>
6
棰樺浘
3.
琚嬩腑鏈?/p>
2
涓櫧鐞冿紝
2
涓粦鐞冿紝
浠庝腑浠绘剰鎽稿嚭
2
涓紝
鍒欒嚦灏戞懜鍑?/p>
1
涓粦鐞冪殑姒傜巼鏄?/p>
.
4.
璁?/p>
D
鏄崐寰勪负
R
鐨勫渾鍛ㄤ笂鐨勪竴瀹氱偣锛屽湪鍦嗗懆涓婇殢鏈哄彇涓�鐐?/p>
C
锛岃繛鎺?/p>
CD
寰椾竴寮︼紝鑻?/p>
A
琛ㄧず
鈥滄墍寰楀鸡鐨勯暱澶т簬鍦嗗唴鎺ョ瓑杈逛笁瑙掑舰鐨勮竟闀库�?/p>
锛屽垯
P
锛?/p>
A
锛?/p>
= .
5.
鎺蜂竴鏋氬潎鍖�鐨勭‖甯佷袱娆★紝浜嬩欢
M
锛?/p>
鈥滀竴娆℃闈㈡湞涓婏紝涓�娆″弽闈㈡湞涓娾�?/p>
锛涗簨浠?/p>
N
锛?/p>
鈥滆嚦灏戜竴娆?/p>
姝ｉ潰鏈濅笂鈥?/p>
.
鍒?/p>
P(M)= ,P(N)= .
6.
濡傚浘鎵�绀猴紝鍦ㄧ洿瑙掑潗鏍囩郴鍐咃紝灏勭嚎
OT
钀藉湪
30
掳瑙掔殑缁堣竟涓婏紝浠讳綔涓�鏉″皠绾?/p>
OA
锛?/p>
鍒欏皠绾?/p>
OA
钀藉湪鈭?/p>
yOT
鍐呯殑姒傜巼涓?/p>
.
浠诲姟
2
銆佽鐪熺悊瑙ｅ彜鍏告鍨嬩笌鍑犱綍姒傚瀷鐨勭壒鐐瑰畬鎴愪緥棰?/p>