涓粙鏁堝簲涓庤皟鑺傛晥搴旓細鍘熺悊涓庡簲鐢?/p>
濮滄案蹇?/p>
鏁寸悊缂栬緫
1
涓粙鏁堝簲鍜岃皟鑺傛晥搴旀蹇靛師鐞?/p>
1.1
涓粙鏁堝簲
鑰冭檻鑷彉閲?/p>
X
瀵瑰洜鍙橀噺
Y
鐨勫奖鍝嶏紝濡傛灉
X
閫氳繃褰卞搷鍙橀噺
M
鑰屽
Y
浜х敓褰卞搷锛屽垯绉?/p>
M
涓轰腑浠嬪彉閲忥紝涓粙鍙橀噺闃愭槑浜嗕竴涓叧绯绘垨杩囩▼
鈥?/p>
濡備綍
鈥?/p>
鍙?/p>
鈥?/p>
涓轰綍
鈥?nbsp;
浜х敓銆?/p>
渚嬪锛?/p>
涓婂徃鐨勫綊鍥犵爺绌讹細
涓嬪睘鐨勮〃鐜?/p>
鈫?/p>
涓婂徃瀵逛笅灞炶〃鐜扮殑褰掑洜
鈫?/p>
涓婂徃瀵逛笅灞炶〃鐜扮殑鍙嶅簲锛?/p>
鍏朵腑鐨?/p>
鈥?/p>
涓婂徃瀵逛笅灞炶〃鐜扮殑褰掑洜
鈥?/p>
涓轰腑浠嬪彉閲忋�?/p>
鍋囪鎵�鏈夊彉閲忛兘宸茬粡涓績鍖?/p>
(
鍗冲皢鏁版嵁鍑忓幓鏍锋湰鍧囧�硷紝涓績鍖栨暟鎹殑鍧囧�间负
0)
鎴栬�呮爣鍑?/p>
鍖?/p>
(
鍧囧�间负
0
锛?/p>
鏍囧噯宸负
1)
锛?/p>
鍙敤涓嬪垪鍥炲綊鏂圭▼鏉ユ弿杩板彉閲忎箣闂寸殑鍏崇郴
(
鍥?/p>
1
鏄浉搴旂殑璺緞鍥?/p>
)
锛?/p>
鍏朵腑鏂圭▼
(1)
鐨勭郴鏁?/p>
c
涓鸿嚜鍙橀噺
X
瀵瑰洜鍙橀噺
Y
鐨勬�绘晥搴旓紱
鏂圭▼
(2)
鐨勭郴鏁?/p>
a
涓鸿嚜鍙橀噺
X
瀵逛腑浠?/p>
鍙橀噺
M
鐨勬晥搴旓紱鏂圭▼
(3)
鐨勭郴鏁?/p>
b
鏄湪鎺у埗浜嗚嚜鍙橀噺
X
鐨勫奖鍝嶅悗锛屼腑浠嬪彉閲?/p>
M
瀵瑰洜鍙橀噺
Y
鐨勬晥搴旓紱绯绘暟
c
鈥?/p>
鏄湪鎺у埗浜嗕腑浠嬪彉閲?/p>
M
鐨勫奖鍝嶅悗锛?/p>
鑷彉閲?/p>
X
瀵瑰洜鍙橀噺
Y
鐨勭洿鎺ユ晥搴旓紱
e
1
-
e
3
鏄洖褰掓畫宸�備腑浠嬫晥搴旂瓑浜庨棿鎺ユ晥搴?/p>
(indirect
effect)
锛屽嵆绛変簬绯绘暟涔樼Н
ab
锛屽畠涓庢�绘晥搴斿拰鐩?/p>
鎺ユ晥搴旀湁涓嬮潰鍏崇郴锛?/p>
Y =cX +e
1
(1)
M =aX +e
2
(2)
Y =c' X +bM +e
3
(3)
c
=
c
鈥?
ab
(4)
绠�鍗曚腑浠嬫晥搴斾腑鎴愮珛锛屽閲嶄腑浠嬫晥搴斾笉鎴愮珛銆?/p>
涓粙鏁堝簲鐨勫洜鏋滈�愭鍥炲綊娉曟ā鍨?/p>
